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The Impact of a Potential Trump Presidency on U.S. Allies in the Middle East

Explore the potential ramifications of a Trump presidency on Middle Eastern allies. Dive into the geopolitical landscape and analyze the implications for key relationships and regional stability.

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This week’s Republican convention in Milwaukee has brought the prospect of former President Donald J. Trump’s return to the White House into focus. Leaders in Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt, the principal U.S. allies in the Middle East, are closely watching and calculating the potential implications for their domestic and regional agendas.

Israel’s Calculations

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had a strong relationship with Mr. Trump during his first presidency. While Netanyahu’s congratulatory message to President Biden strained their ties, a potential Trump return is seen as beneficial for Netanyahu’s right-wing government. Mr. Trump’s stance on Gaza aligns with Israel’s interests, and his support on issues like Iran and diplomatic ties with Arab states is also favorable for Israel.

Saudi Arabia’s Interests

States in the Arabian Peninsula, including Saudi Arabia, have reasons to welcome a second Trump term. The Trump Organization recently signed a deal in Saudi Arabia, indicating close ties between the Trump family and the kingdom. A Trump presidency is expected to maintain a positive relationship with Saudi Arabia, a region rich in fossil fuels.

Expectations for Egypt

Egypt, another key U.S. ally in the Middle East, is monitoring the potential outcomes of a Trump presidency. Stability in the region and cooperation on key issues like counterterrorism are factors that Egypt will consider in its approach to a Trump administration.

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