The Escalating Tensions between China and Taiwan

The longstanding tensions between China and Taiwan have been escalating in recent times, entering a more precarious phase. Beijing has issued threats against Taiwanese citizens who challenge China’s claim to the island, while Chinese jets and Coast Guard ships have been increasingly active near Taiwan.

When Lai Ching-te assumed office as Taiwan’s president in May, he committed to maintaining the China policies of his predecessor, Tsai Ing-wen. However, Mr. Lai has been more direct in rejecting China’s demands while upholding Taiwan’s right to self-rule.

David Sacks, an Asia studies fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, noted that Mr. Lai’s approach reflects a shift towards clearer communication about Taiwan’s separate status, particularly in response to Beijing’s unwavering pressure.

Despite the heightened tensions, the possibility of imminent conflict remains low. Chinese leader Xi Jinping is primarily focused on economic matters and aims to manage relations with the United States, which plays a key security role for Taiwan. Additionally, Chinese leaders continue to pursue peaceful unification with Taiwan and maintain communication with the island’s Nationalist Party, which supports closer ties with Beijing.